Kairon Intelligence API · Closed beta 2027
Prediction-market data Bloomberg doesn't sell.
Multi-year Polymarket priors, whale anomaly detection, news-reaction embeddings, and calibrated event forecasts — the same intel graph Kairon runs internally, exposed as four MCP tools for hedge funds, fintech firms, media outlets, and consulting buyers.
Coming 2027 — Bloomberg-grade prediction-market intelligence, on-demand via API. Join the waitlist below for early access.
Total Markets Tracked
—Live count once GA
Whale Coverage
—Live count once GA
Calibration Score
—Live once GA
Beta Users
—Live count once GA
Why it exists
Three things nothing else has.
Building a calibrated, anomaly-aware market intelligence layer from scratch takes years of upstream ingestion. We've done it for the consumer product — the API just rents it out.
Two years of Polymarket ticks, market metadata, and resolution outcomes — already ingested, de-duplicated, embedded.
24 months · 8.4M eventsEvery forecast endpoint reports a confidence band derived from historical Kairon Score performance against actual resolutions.
Brier 0.18 · n=12 400The same whale-pattern detector that drives the consumer Kairon dashboard — exposed for caller-supplied time series.
p95 latency 220msFour MCP tools
The intel graph, exposed.
Every tool is callable via MCP from any compatible runtime — Claude, GPT, your own client. Tier quotas and pricing tiers will publish ahead of beta.
Who it's for
Four lanes. One feed.
Macro signal feed for short-horizon trades and event-risk hedging.
Embed calibrated probabilities into retail or institutional product surfaces.
Ground stories in real prediction-market priors instead of survey polls.
White-label macro context for client decks without staffing a quant desk.
Methodology note
Probabilities come straight from Polymarket order books and trade ticks — not models. Calibration metrics are recomputed nightly against actual market resolutions, so the confidence bands you see today are backed by the resolutions Kairon scored yesterday. Anomaly detection uses 14-day rolling z-scores with a configurable sensitivity, the same math powering the consumer Kairon dashboard since Phase 1. No model is treated as ground truth; the resolution is.
The four MCP tools (macro_snapshot, anomaly.detect, news.semantic_search, forecast.calibrated) are in closed beta as of Phase 4.4. The macro_snapshot and forecast.calibrated tools are live for Forge Pro+ and above via session auth + plan quota. The Intel API as a standalone, sellable line item for institutional buyers (the waitlist below) is targeted for public launch in 2027.
Join the list
Closed beta access at Kairon's discretion.
We invite from the list as capacity and signal coverage permit. Email sales for enterprise terms.
Kairon Intelligence API is in pre-launch. Not investment advice. Pricing, tier quotas, and SLA commitments are TBD and will publish ahead of beta. Closed-beta access at Kairon's discretion.