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All Politics Crypto Sports Economy AI / Tech Geopolitics Finance Entertainment Health Games NBA NFL MLB Soccer UFC F1 Tennis Golf Hot New YES >70%NO >70%Others Past Markets

Geopolitics Markets

82 markets

SECTOR ANALYSIS

Geopolitics

-47.6% net convictionvs 24 hours

AVG YES PROB

29.9%

market consensus tilt

MARKET CAP

$14.36M

combined volume

TURNOVER

100.00%

24h / total volume

LIQUIDITY

$27.87M

depth across markets

Kairon AI IntelligenceBearish

“Geopolitics consensus is defensive — 51 of 82 markets are pricing rejection. $14.36M in 24h flow suggests money is leaning out of the optimistic side. Watch contrarian entries on "Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi …", "LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC…", "LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Wi…".”

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82 markets0 articles

MARKETS82

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $105K/24hLiq $287KYES 50%~VOLATILE

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $91K/24hLiq $266KYES 53%~VOLATILE

DEN vs. ATL: O/U 38.5

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $114K/24hLiq $197KYES 52%~VOLATILE

Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $86K/24hLiq $198KYES 45%~VOLATILE

Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - The International Group Stage

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $62K/24hLiq $83KYES 45%~VOLATILE

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $211K/24hLiq $333KYES 44%~VOLATILE

DEN vs. ATL: O/U 40.5

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $78K/24hLiq $180KYES 44%~VOLATILE

San Diego Padres vs. Cleveland Guardians

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 8d to resolution · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $85K/24hLiq $528KYES 48%~VOLATILE

Dolphins vs. Commanders

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 63% · resolves imminently

Vol $70K/24hLiq $292KYES 63%+BULLISH

Bitcoin Up or Down on August 15?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 63% · resolves imminently

Vol $116K/24hLiq $23KYES 37%-BEARISH

Cincinnati Open: Fabian Marozsan vs Michael Zheng

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 7d to resolution

Vol $162K/24hLiq $441KYES 54%+BULLISH

Valorant: FURIA Esports vs 2GAME Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-In

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 66% · resolves imminently

Vol $183K/24hLiq $114KYES 34%-BEARISH

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 8d to resolution · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $92K/24hLiq $823KYES 45%~VOLATILE

Cincinnati Open: Jaime Faria vs Jenson Brooksby

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 8d to resolution

Vol $74K/24hLiq $325KYES 43%+BULLISH

Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 60% · 8d to resolution

Vol $68K/24hLiq $493KYES 40%-BEARISH

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 62% · 8d to resolution

Vol $108K/24hLiq $419KYES 38%-BEARISH

Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marin Cilic

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 60% · 6d to resolution

Vol $90K/24hLiq $272KYES 60%+BULLISH

Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group D

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 72% · resolves imminently

Vol $122K/24hLiq $124KYES 28%-BEARISH

Cincinnati Open: Yulia Putintseva vs Liudmila Samsonova

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 72% · 6d to resolution

Vol $137K/24hLiq $453KYES 28%+BULLISH

Cincinnati Open: Hamad Medjedovic vs Marco Trungelliti

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 75% · 7d to resolution

Vol $187K/24hLiq $334KYES 25%+BULLISH

Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Group Stage

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 86% · resolves imminently

Vol $68K/24hLiq $107KYES 14%-BEARISH

Cincinnati Open: Lois Boisson vs Belinda Bencic

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 76% · 8d to resolution

Vol $166K/24hLiq $65KYES 24%+BULLISH

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 69% · resolves imminently

Vol $64K/24hLiq $16KYES 31%-BEARISH

LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality - Game 2 Winner

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 100% · resolves imminently

Vol $613K/24hLiq $961KYES 100%+BULLISH

Counter-Strike: Just Players vs ENCE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · resolves imminently

Vol $109K/24hLiq $105KYES 0%-BEARISH

LoL: GIANTX vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · resolves imminently

Vol $1.1M/24hLiq $641KYES 0%-BEARISH

LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group

high-velocity 24h activity · YES at 69% · resolves imminently

Vol $82K/24hLiq $137KYES 69%+BULLISH

Cincinnati Open: Nuno Borges vs Thanasi Kokkinakis

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 100% · 6d to resolution

Vol $1.3M/24hLiq $439KYES 100%+BULLISH

Cincinnati Open: Juncheng Shang vs Lorenzo Sonego

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 6d to resolution

Vol $166K/24hLiq $727KYES 0%+BULLISH

Cincinnati Open: Adam Walton vs Nicolas Mejia

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 99% · 7d to resolution

Vol $106K/24hLiq $218KYES 99%+BULLISH

Brownsburg: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 100% · 7d to resolution

Vol $124K/24hLiq $402KYES 100%+BULLISH

The Hundred: Manchester Super Giants vs Sunrisers Leeds

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 100% · 7d to resolution

Vol $535K/24hLiq $88KYES 100%+BULLISH

Cincinnati Open: Xinyu Wang vs Hanne Vandewinkel

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 100% · 7d to resolution

Vol $387K/24hLiq $260KYES 100%+BULLISH

UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · resolves imminently · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $70K/24hLiq $199KYES 53%~VOLATILE

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 15?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · resolves imminently

Vol $64K/24hLiq $47KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 76%

Vol $102K/24hLiq $77KYES 24%+BULLISH

UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 77% · resolves imminently

Vol $220K/24hLiq $241KYES 77%+BULLISH

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $91K/24hLiq $41KYES 44%~VOLATILE

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $263K/24hLiq $204KYES 0%+BULLISH

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 89% · 9d to resolution

Vol $118K/24hLiq $39KYES 11%-BEARISH

Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 76%

Vol $73K/24hLiq $169KYES 24%+BULLISH

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 83% · 7d to resolution

Vol $157K/24hLiq $68KYES 17%-BEARISH

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · resolves imminently

Vol $63K/24hLiq $53KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 91%

Vol $79K/24hLiq $49KYES 9%-BEARISH

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 99% · resolves imminently

Vol $150K/24hLiq $99KYES 99%+BULLISH

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · resolves imminently

Vol $408K/24hLiq $2.3MYES 0%-BEARISH

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99% · resolves imminently

Vol $178K/24hLiq $137KYES 1%-BEARISH

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in August?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 89%

Vol $83K/24hLiq $25KYES 89%+BULLISH

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99% · 4d to resolution

Vol $116K/24hLiq $350KYES 1%-BEARISH

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 79%

Vol $141K/24hLiq $94KYES 21%-BEARISH

Fed rate hike in 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · elevated market uncertainty

Vol $66K/24hLiq $234KYES 49%~VOLATILE

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 5d to resolution

Vol $64K/24hLiq $229KYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%

Vol $75K/24hLiq $88KYES 2%-BEARISH

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $82K/24hLiq $268KYES 1%+BULLISH

US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 78%

Vol $96K/24hLiq $186KYES 78%+BULLISH

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%

Vol $164K/24hLiq $184KYES 2%-BEARISH

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 75%

Vol $264K/24hLiq $453KYES 25%-BEARISH

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 75%

Vol $282K/24hLiq $460KYES 75%+BULLISH

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 98%

Vol $443K/24hLiq $934KYES 2%-BEARISH

Trump out as President by August 31?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $64K/24hLiq $149KYES 1%-BEARISH

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 77%

Vol $68K/24hLiq $474KYES 23%+BULLISH

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 80%

Vol $144K/24hLiq $421KYES 20%+BULLISH

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 81%

Vol $73K/24hLiq $186KYES 19%-BEARISH

Will Atlanta Hawks win the 2027 NBA Finals?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $105K/24hLiq $233KYES 1%+BULLISH

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $104K/24hLiq $1.1MYES 0%+BULLISH

Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $106K/24hLiq $268KYES 1%+BULLISH

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 86%

Vol $108K/24hLiq $554KYES 14%-BEARISH

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 87%

Vol $245K/24hLiq $362KYES 13%+BULLISH

Will Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2027 NBA Finals?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97%

Vol $69K/24hLiq $240KYES 3%+BULLISH

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 87%

Vol $69K/24hLiq $367KYES 13%+BULLISH

Will Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97%

Vol $64K/24hLiq $191KYES 3%+BULLISH

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 96%

Vol $174K/24hLiq $59KYES 4%-BEARISH

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 96%

Vol $59K/24hLiq $64KYES 4%-BEARISH

Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 91%

Vol $66K/24hLiq $445KYES 9%+BULLISH

Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $224K/24hLiq $129KYES 1%-BEARISH

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 92%

Vol $196K/24hLiq $643KYES 8%-BEARISH

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $426K/24hLiq $262KYES 0%+BULLISH

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $340K/24hLiq $1.0MYES 0%-BEARISH

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%

Vol $230K/24hLiq $887KYES 1%-BEARISH

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $151K/24hLiq $735KYES 0%-BEARISH

Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $261K/24hLiq $975KYES 0%+BULLISH

Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%

Vol $60K/24hLiq $521KYES 0%-BEARISH

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