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Politics Markets
20 markets
SECTOR ANALYSIS
Politics
-60.0% net convictionvs 24 hours
AVG YES PROB
23.4%
market consensus tilt
MARKET CAP
$4.83M
combined volume
TURNOVER
100.00%
24h / total volume
LIQUIDITY
$15.93M
depth across markets
Kairon AI IntelligenceBearish
“Politics consensus is defensive — 15 of 20 markets are pricing rejection. $4.83M in 24h flow suggests money is leaning out of the optimistic side. Watch contrarian entries on "Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2…", "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazi…", "Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian…".”
Trending Intelligence
Live20 markets1 articles
MARKETS20
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 75% · 3d to resolution
Vol $179K/24hLiq $87KYES 75%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 73% · 3d to resolution
Vol $147K/24hLiq $142KYES 27%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 3d to resolution
Vol $961K/24hLiq $997KYES 44%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · contested near-50/50 odds · 3d to resolution
Vol $811K/24hLiq $767KYES 57%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 76% · 3d to resolution
Vol $185K/24hLiq $149KYES 76%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 75% · 3d to resolution
Vol $99K/24hLiq $166KYES 25%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
high-velocity 24h activity · strong YES consensus at 98% · 3d to resolution
Vol $106K/24hLiq $93KYES 98%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 3d to resolution
Vol $399K/24hLiq $1.0MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 3d to resolution
Vol $145K/24hLiq $770KYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100% · 3d to resolution
Vol $209K/24hLiq $1.3MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO leads at 66%
Vol $72K/24hLiq $530KYES 34%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 92%
Vol $215K/24hLiq $251KYES 8%+BULLISH
MARKET
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 92%
Vol $304K/24hLiq $2.1MYES 8%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $112K/24hLiq $97KYES 0%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 92%
Vol $182K/24hLiq $2.1MYES 8%-BEARISH
MARKET
Trump out as President before 2027?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 96%
Vol $72K/24hLiq $423KYES 4%-BEARISH
MARKET
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 99%
Vol $200K/24hLiq $667KYES 1%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 97%
Vol $85K/24hLiq $762KYES 3%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $167K/24hLiq $1.4MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
high-velocity 24h activity · NO dominant at 100%
Vol $183K/24hLiq $2.1MYES 0%+BULLISH
MARKET
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